power · · Source: Bloomberg
Kalshi Head of Research on Midterms Accuracy
Nicole Kagan, Head of Research at Kalshi, joins Bloomberg Businessweek Daily to discuss the prediction platform's accuracy on 2026 midterm election night, saying that bets on the platform were over 98% accurate across Tuesday's races. She points out that traders rapidly repriced races like the South Carolina senate race within minutes of polls closing, and often before news outlets called results.